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遼寧省一季度經濟出現負增長

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The economic growth rate of Liaoning in China’s struggling north-east sank below zero in the first quarter, according to the local statistics bureau, making it the first province to register negative growth in seven years thanks to a severe downturn in China’s energy and heavy industry sectors.

遼寧省一季度經濟出現負增長

據地方統計局消息,由於中國的能源和重工業行業嚴重衰退,遼寧省一季度經濟增速跌至零下,成爲7年來首個出現負增長的省份。遼寧省位於中國處境艱難的東北地區。

China’s national growth clocked in at an annual rate of 6.7 per cent in the first quarter, but that masks sharp discrepancies between provinces reliant on heavy industry, mining or oil and the southern and eastern regions with more diversified economies.

中國一季度全國經濟增速達到6.7%,但這掩蓋了那些依賴重工業、採礦或石油的省份,與經濟較爲多樣化的華南、華東地區省份之間的巨大差異。

Liaoning, one of two provinces yet to report gross domestic product figures for the first quarter, was expected to perform poorly. The downturn in coal and oil prices has hit hard in the north-east, formerly known as Manchuria. The largest economy among the three northeastern provinces, Liaoning boasts the manufacturing and high-tech city of Dalian but is also home to large and struggling steel mills.

目前仍有兩個省份未公佈一季度國內生產總值(GDP)數據,其中一個就是遼寧省,預計其表現不佳。煤炭和石油價格的低迷對東北地區造成重創。作爲東三省最大經濟體,遼寧以其製造業和高科技城市大連而自豪,但遼寧也是衆多陷入困境的大型鋼廠的大本營。

Chinese newspaper 21st Century Business Herald reported this week that the province would book a 1.3 per cent contraction in real GDP for the quarter, a figure subsequently integrated into figures published by data provider CEIC. A Liaoning statistics bureau official confirmed that the figure was “basically correct” when contacted by the Financial Times but said the data had not yet been published, pending approval from senior provincial officials.

根據《21世紀經濟報道》(21st Century Business Herald)本週報道,遼寧省一季度實際GDP預計將收縮1.3%,隨後數據提供商CEIC發佈的綜合數據中也採用了這一數字。遼寧統計局一名官員向英國《金融時報》證實,這一數字“基本正確”,但表示該數據尚未公佈,還有待省內高層官員批准。

Liaoning’s performance is politically significant because Chinese premier Li Keqiang is affiliated with an economic revival in the rust belt north-east after a severe downturn following reforms to state-owned heavy industry in the late 1990s. His policy, which included state-funded housing projects designed to replace decrepit neighbourhoods of SOE worker housing, fuelled a construction boom but did not fundamentally alter the region’s reliance on traditional industries.

遼寧省的經濟表現之所以具有重大政治意義,是因爲中國總理李克強與東北“鏽帶”地區的經濟復甦有關。上世紀90年代末,東北地區在國有重工業改革後經歷了嚴重衰退。李克強的政策包括推出國家資助的住房項目,以取代國企員工居住的老舊居民區,他的政策推動了建築業發展,但並沒有從根本上改變該地區對傳統產業的依賴。