以中國爲首的世界看起來什麼樣

The Trump administration may be accelerating "Easternization" argues Gideon Rachman.

吉迪恩 拉赫曼認爲：川普的內閣可能加速“東方化”。

Next week Chinese President Xi Jinping will travel to the United States to meet Donald Trump for the first time.

下週，中國的主席，將會出訪美國，與特朗普進行第一次會面。

But according to Gideon Rachman the chief foreign affairs commentator for the Financial Times power is flowing in the opposite direction.

根據英國<金融時報>首席外事評論員吉Gideon Rachman：力量正在往相反的方向流動。

Rachman is far from the first analyst to argue that China and other Asian nations are rising while the Western world declines nor is he the first to cite the now-familiar statistics about China’s ballooning economy and unparalleled manufacturing might.

拉赫曼遠不是第一個認爲當西方世界的衰退時中國和其他亞洲國家則在崛起的分析師，他也不是第一個引用現在已被人們所熟知的有關中國膨脹經濟和無與倫比製造能力的統計數據。

His contribution is to help explain some of the most confounding developments of the day—from the Middle East’s descent into anarchy to the ascent of populist politicians in the West to the emergence of nostalgia as a political force—through his theory of the “Easternization” of international affairs.

他的貢獻是通過他的國際事務“東方化”理論幫忙解釋如今世界最複雜的發展態勢，從中東墮向無政府狀態，到西方民粹政治家的崛起，再到懷舊之情作爲一種政治力量的浮現。

“In the twenty-first century” Rachman writes in his recent book on the concept “rivalries among the nations of the Asia-Pacific region will shape global politics just as the struggles between European nations shaped world affairs for over five hundred years from 1500 onward.”

“在二十一世紀”，rachman 在他最新的書裏寫到:“亞太地區國家之間的競爭將改變全球政治，就像歐洲國家從1500年開始通過互相的爭鬥而塑造了此後500多年的世界事務一樣”。

Trump in fact was an early opponent of Easternization though he used different language. The businessman first expressed some of the core themes of his 2016 campaign—that foolish free-trade deals and greedy allies were draining the United States of its greatness—in the late 1980s when the Japanese economy was booming and as the former Bush administration official Peter Feaver has noted “the joke was that the Cold War was over and Japan had won.” Today Trump argues that China is winning—and that America’s losing streak must end.

實際上川普在早期就反對東方化，儘管他用了不同的表述方式。80年代當日本經濟繁榮發展時，這個商人首次表達了其2016年總統競選中的某些核心主題，那就是可笑的自由貿易協議和貪婪的盟友耗盡了偉大的美國。在1980年末期，當日本經濟像騰飛時老布什的內閣官員 Peter Feaver 說“可笑的是，冷戰結束了，勝利屬於日本”當前，川普認爲：中國正在獲勝，美國的敗績必須停止。