專家表示 2050年中國將有3000萬名光棍

The number of single men of marriageable age in China will reach at least 30 million in 30 years, the result of a widening gender ratio at birth in the last decades, experts said last Monday.

有關專家上週一表示，由於過去幾十年性別比例不斷擴大，中國適婚年齡的單身男性的人數將在30年內達到至少3000萬人。

Wang Guangzhou, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, was quoted by the People's Daily as saying that the number of unmarried Chinese men between 35 and 59 will reach 15 million in 2020 and 30 million in 2050.

《人民日報》援引中國社科院研究員王廣州的話稱，2020年，中國35歲至59歲未婚男性數量將達到1500萬，2050年時將進一步增加到3000萬。

He said that poorly educated lower class men are far more likely to wind up single - males who only have a primary education or below accounting for 12.7 percent of the male population in 1990, but it increased to 15 percent in 2010.

他表示，受教育程度較低的男性更容易單身--1990年小學及以下教育程度的男性只佔男性總人口的12.7%，而2010年時這一比例上升到了15%。

Yuan Xin, a professor at Nankai University and expert on family planning policy, told the Global Times that the number will likely exceed 30 million in 2050, as gender bias in favor of males at birth is still high in China.

南開大學教授、計劃生育政策專家袁鑫向《環球時報》透露，由於中國重男輕女思想仍然很嚴重，到2050年時適婚年齡的單身男性的數量可能會超過3000萬人。

The national average sex ratio at birth peaked at 121.2 males for every 100 females in China in 2004, while the standard ratio set by the UN is between 103 and 107 males for every 100 females, the People's Daily reported.

據《人民日報》報道，2004年中國平均出生人口性別比達到了每100名女性對應121.2名男性，而聯合國設立的標準比例爲每100名女性對應的男性數量在103到107之間。

In 2015, the nationwide average was 113.5 males against 100 females, the seventh decrease since 2009.

2015年，全國平均出生人口性別比爲113.5名男性比100名女性，這是自2009年以來連續第七年下降。

Zhai Zhenwu, a sociologist at the Renmin University of China, said the continued imbalance was caused by the development of ultrasound technology in the 1980's, which aided the traditional family preferences for a son.

據中國人民大學社會學家翟振武表示，男女性別比例持續不平衡是由於上世紀80年代超聲技術發展所導致的，該技術可以幫助辨別胎兒性別，從而滿足一些想生兒子的家庭的願望。