對NBA最後一個月 我有一個大膽的預測

It starts with Bradley Beal, who's separating himself from every other player in the eighth-seed sweepstakes. The 25-year-old has rocketed out of the All-Star break with 29.4 points, 7.1 assists and 2.1 steals. That puts him among the top 15 in points (sixth), dimes (15th) and steals (tied for second).

首先，奇才擁有其他衝擊季後賽球隊所不可比擬的球星——布拉德利-比爾，這位25歲的球員以29.4分，7.1次助攻和2.1次搶斷的成績在東部全明星中異軍突起，這使他躋身於聯盟前15位得分（第六），助攻（第十五），搶斷（並列第二）。

The Wizards have also found new juice with their post-trade-deadline starting group. The quintet of Beal, Tomas Satoransky, Trevor Ariza, Jeff Green and Bobby Portis has a plus-1.6 net rating, which would rank 12th overall on the season.

奇才隊同時也在交易截止日後發掘了新組合，當比爾，托馬斯-薩託蘭斯基，特雷沃-阿里扎，傑夫-格林和鮑比-波蒂斯同時在場時淨勝對手1.6分，本賽季聯盟排名第12位

Finally, the scheduling gods could be shining on the District at the perfect time. The Wizards, who struggle playing away from home (8-27) and against good teams (11-25 against .500-plus clubs), host eight of their final 14 contests and have the third-lowest remaining opponents' winning percentage (.456), per Tankathon.

最後，調度之神可以在最完美的時刻照耀這片地區，奇才在客場的勝率是8勝27負，與強隊交手11勝25負（500多傢俱樂部？），而奇才剩下的14場比賽有8個主場，同時Tankathon剩餘賽程難度排名中難度45.6%，第三低。

The Milwaukee Bucks are the only team cruising at a 60-plus-victory pace (61.5, to be exact), while the Toronto Raptors (57.9), Warriors (56.3) and Nuggets (54.7) are the only other clubs still in the running for a 60-win season. But the Dubs and Nuggets are all but mathematically eliminated from that chase, and the East heavyweights both might prioritize rest over wins down the stretch.

密爾沃基雄鹿隊是唯一一支以超過60勝的速度前進的球隊(確切地說，是61.5勝)，而多倫多猛龍隊( 57.9勝)、勇士隊( 56.3勝)和掘金隊( 54.7勝)是爲數不多的仍在爭奪本賽季60勝的球隊，但是勇士和掘金在概率上幾乎可以被抹去，而東部重量級球隊剩下的比賽則可能優先考慮輪休，而不是贏球

Milwaukee already has a comfy three-game lead atop the East, and Toronto has given no indication it's in all-out pursuit of pole position. The Raptors are busy keeping Kyle Lowry and Kawhi Leonard as fresh as possible for the postseason, and they're also navigating around Serge Ibaka's suspension.

目前密爾沃基領先第二名三個勝場，但多倫多也完全沒有要爭頭名的意思，而是儘可能的讓洛瑞和萊昂納德在季後賽中保鮮，同時需要考慮的還有伊巴卡禁賽期間球隊的不穩定性問題。

If Toronto eases up and Milwaukee follows suit, the league-best win total won't make it out of the 50s.

如果多倫多放鬆了，密爾沃基也會照做，那聯盟的最佳勝率將不會超過50。

The Warriors look exhausted. Every time you think they might perk up, they snooze through another e the All-Star break seemed like a chance to recharge their batteries, the Dubs came out of drained as ever. They're only 5-5 since the intermission with a minus-1.3 net rating that slots them in the bottom third.

勇士隊的球員們看起來筋疲力盡了。每次你認爲他們可能會振作起來，他們就會再睡一會兒。雖然全明星週末看起來像是充電的機會，但是勇士隊還是一如既往的後繼無力，全明星後勇士隊5勝5負，淨勝對手-1.3，聯盟排名倒數第三。

None of this means Golden State won't win the title or shouldn't be considered the clear favorite to do so. But it does increase the possibility that the Warriors won't flip a switch until the a macro level, that's fine. The Warriors' goals don't start until then, anyway. But from a micro view, their grip on a top seed feels tenuous at best.

但這些並不意味着金州無法贏得總冠軍，也不能視爲爭冠的最佳球隊，但這確實增加了勇士隊季後賽變陣的可能性，宏觀上講，這樣很好，不管怎樣，季後賽纔是勇士的起點，但謹慎些看，他們衛冕冠軍頭銜搖搖欲墜。

Young has been on a tear for the better part of two months. Dating back to Jan. 26—a 22-game stretch—he's averaged an absurd 23.5 points, 9.0 assists and 4.3 rebounds while splashing 2.8 triples at a 41.3 percent clip."

兩個月來，楊一直熱淚盈眶。追溯到1月26日，他在22場比賽中平均得到了23.5分、9.0次助攻和4.3個籃板，同時以41.3%的命中率場均命中2.8個三分球。

Luka has had a tremendous year," Young recently told HoopsHype's Alex Kennedy. "He's played well all year and done a lot of tremendous things. ... But I think I've had a pretty good year as well. And with the way I've been playing lately, I think if I continue to play this way, there's definitely a chance that I'll win (Rookie of the Year)."

盧卡度過了一個偉大的一年，楊最近接受採訪時告訴Hoopshype的亞歷克斯·肯尼迪，他一年打得很好，做了很多了不起的事情。……但我想我也度過了一個美好的一年。而且最近我的表現，我想如果我繼續這樣做，我肯定有機會贏得(最佳新秀)。

For the season, Young is up to 18.3 points, 7.8 assists and 1.9 threes per night. If he bumps that to 18 points and eight assists, he'd be the third freshman ever to do so. Tack on two triples, and it would be unprecedented production from a first-year still may not be enough to unseat Doncic, but the gap is close enough to justify a bold prediction on Young's behalf.

本賽季，楊可以得到18.3分，7.8次助攻，每晚1.9次助攻。如果他能拿下18分和8次助攻，他將是第三個打出這個數據的新秀。Tack on two triples，這是新秀年前所未有的成就，雖然還不足以取代東契奇，但這一差距已經接近，有理由爲楊做一個大膽的預測。

What's harder to comprehend is James having his 11-year first-team All-NBA streak snapped.

更難理解的是詹姆斯正在結束他連續11年進入聯盟第一梯隊的記錄。

Last season was one of his best, good enough for his highest finish in the MVP voting since 2013-14 (second). Statistically, he's doing almost everything now that he was then. But the combination of a lengthy layoff after a groin injury on Christmas and the Lakers' likely lottery fate has sucked the life out of James' stat sheet.

上個賽季是他最好的賽季之一，足以讓他獲得自2013-14年（第二）以來最有價值球員投票中的最高成績。從統計上看，他現在幾乎做了所有的事情。但是，在聖誕節腹股溝受傷後一場曠日持久的裁員和湖人可能已經註定的命運，已經把詹姆斯的生活從統計表中抽走了。

The numbers are still impressive—27.3 points, 8.7 rebounds and 8.0 assists—but they aren't enough to get him on the first or second All-NBA teams. Not when Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Durant, Paul George and Kawhi Leonard all present stronger cases for their individual play and their impact on their respective clubs.

這個數字仍然令人印象深刻，27.3分，8.7個籃板和8.0次助攻，但這些還不足以讓他進入第一或第二的NBA球隊。當揚尼斯-阿德託昆博、凱文-杜蘭特、保羅-喬治和科懷-倫納德都爲他們的個人比賽和對各自俱樂部的影響迴應了更強有力的理由時，情況就不是這樣了。

The last time James didn't make first or second-team All-NBA, he was a rookie.

詹姆斯上一次沒有進入全聯盟一隊或二隊時，他還是個新秀。

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